Prediction Markets Are Basking in Their Election Win. Can It Last?
History suggests the platforms have flourished during U.S. presidential elections, then struggled afterward.
Battle of the pollsters: ‘Nostradamus’ bashes rival after both election predictions flopped
Lichtman is known as the “Nostradamus” of election predictions after accurately predicting nine of the 10 presidential ...
Peter Thiel's 'contrarian' election prediction came true
Thiel predicted in September that the 2024 election was "not going to be close" as he declined to spend money to help elect ...
Allan Lichtman reaffirms 2024 election prediction, takes jab at forecaster Nate Silver
Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald ...
The 2024 Election’s Other Big Loser: Prediction Markets
Prediction markets, exchange-traded markets where participants can bet on the outcomes of future events, failed to provide ...
Trump Win Boosts Prediction Markets That Nailed Election Outcome
Betting websites that allow wagers on political outcomes had the former president as a heavy favorite leading into Tuesday’s ...
Top polling guru reveals final 2024 election prediction model – and it couldn’t be any closer
Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the ...
Election 2024 prediction markets: How the gamblers beat the pollsters
The public opinion polls said Tuesday’s presidential election would be a nailbiter. But it looked a lot different at online prediction markets where people bet real money on the outcome. Markets ...
Who is winning the 2024 presidential race polls? Latest Election Day predictions, betting odds, more
It is Election Day! And it is still a tight race between Harris and Trump. Take a look at Election Day polls, betting odds, ...