The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

One name absent from the list is Katie Miller, Musk’s right-hand woman at DOGE, who departed her work in government when Musk ...

Crypto gamblers are crying foul as they stand to lose millions of dollars in a bet over whether Ukraine's president would ...

Polymarket is facing the anger of its community, after the market on whether Zelenskyy would wear a suit by July resolved to ...

A Polymarket dispute over Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's attire exposes crypto oracle vulnerabilities, threatening ...

Discontent over the market’s resolution has reignited scrutiny of UMA’s dispute system and the influence of large Polymarket ...

The price of "yes" has now plummeted to $0.04 from $0.19, giving an implied probability of outcome at just 4%. The "yes" ...

In the wake of UMA’s controversial ruling on whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy wore a suit, one of Polymarket’s top traders says ...

Polymarket ruled "No" on whether Zelenskyy wore a suit despite widespread media coverage suggesting otherwise.

Cryptocurrency bettors now estimate a 50% possibility that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for the first time in ...

Perceived odds of a U.S. recession peaked at 66% back in April as Wall Street banks were raising red flags, yet they have ...