Going into the November general election, a race that has yielded a stream of unexpected storylines, we can learn from the ...

They are the constant northern star of political prediction.” Even the most skeptical observer will agree he has a 50 ...

Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.

Our map features three degrees of certainty ... President Donald Trump's election in 2016. The latest 2024 presidential election predictions on which party will win the White House in ...

Barron Trump’s choice of college following his May 2024 high school graduation from Oxbridge Academy in West Palm Beach, Florida, ends a months-long query. The son of the former president and former ...

Allan Lichtman, a historian who predicted the last nine out of 10 elections correctly, says Harris will beat Trump this ...

Odds are according to BetMGM UK. The "chance to win the election" percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vigorish removed. Gambling on elections is not legally allowed at ...

This issue is preventing our website from loading properly. Please review the following troubleshooting tips or contact us at [email protected]. Your guide to the ...

Harris' chances of winning in November have spiked since her debate against Trump, according to Silver's model.