Historian and political scientist Allan Lichtman is blaming disinformation and billionaire tech mogul Elon Musk for his ...

Allan Lichtman said he might make changes to his famous “13 keys” model that helped him accurately predict past elections.

Grover Norquist has won The Hill’s 2024 elections contest, predicting that Republicans would control the White House, the ...

Lichtman believed that Harris had satisfied the requisite eight keys, but then she lost— and in resounding fashion. After the ...

Ninety readers locked in their best guesses prior to Election Day, predicting who would win key races, which party would win ...

History suggests the platforms have flourished during U.S. presidential elections, then struggled afterward.

Lichtman, a historian known for his predictions of presidential elections and who expected a Kamala Harris victory, is ...

Thiel predicted in September that the 2024 election was "not going to be close" as he declined to spend money to elect Trump.

Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.

Since Trump claimed victory last week, Allan Lichtman acknowledged he was wrong about his Harris prediction and would ...

Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald ...

Prediction markets, exchange-traded markets where participants can bet on the outcomes of future events, failed to provide ...